
Home

Records & Archives

Picks/Bets

Money Management

Sportsbooks

Contact

DON'T EVER PAY FOR ANY
SPORTS SERVICE AGAIN!
CHECK MY RESULTS HERE! |
|
Welcome to
Toutbuster.com I am not going to waste anytime trying to make a sales pitch like all the touts
(sports tipsters/services who charge for their picks). I will get straight to
the point. I am a full time charted accountant. I got into sports betting for
recreational purposes in 1996. My first 7 years
were losing years. During the first 5 years I made my own picks and followed
some tipsters on radio talk shows and message boards--finished each of those 5 years in the negative
or close to par. Then I realized that even If I managed to pick/find more
winners than losers, it is still hard to make profit because of the gamblers
psychology on expected value, money management and bookies vig. At this point I decided to join
so called professional sports handicapping services
to simply follow their advice so that I don't have to let my psychology affect
anything. I spent the next 2 years trying numerous sports services but both years I lost more than what I
lost in the first 5 years combined. During my first 5 years, the biggest bet I
ever placed was $250. Then the next 2 years when I was trying out different
sports services, I placed wagers ranging from $50 to $500.
The +EV winning formula
Sports bettors' psychology (be it handicapping a game to pick the winning
side or deciding on how much to bet) always works against them. All it takes is
a couple of losses or a small losing streak for this pressure to take effect in
most bettors. They will let emotions take over when they are down and
they will do all the "DON'Ts" of sports betting, with the most common one
being chasing losses by playing too many games or betting too much. Nearly 2
years after using many sports services, I realized that sports handicapping
services are lot worse than an average bettor when it comes to psychology
because of the pressure to produce results for their clients. All it takes is a
small losing streak and they are doomed for ever because they will activate the
chase mode. The end results is another losing sports service. MOST PROFESSIONAL
SPORTS HANDICAPPING SERVICES LOSE NOT
BECAUSE OF THEIR IN ABILITY TO HANDICAP GAMES, IT IS RATHER THEIR INABILITY TO
STAY DISCIPLINED. As soon as they go on chase mode they will start betting on
games that they wouldn't normally bet, -EV bets. To make things worse, they
would bet lot more on these -EV bets than the amount that they were betting on
the +EV bets prior to the chase mode.
By the fall of 2006 I have successfully mastered the art of
when to fade and when to tail a sports service for a nice +EV return. There are hundreds of services
out there, that means a lot picks. Key is to study them all and spot the chase
mode at early stages. I closely study and analyze a database with numerous
sports services (about 50!) . I get their daily
picks from the "service plays" threads of major sports betting forums and I
subscribe to the services that I cannot find in those threads. I go through
all their daily picks and come up with 5 to 10 possible +EV plays. From these possible plays, I will bet only
1 to 3 plays, i.e. the top three +EV plays in my estimate. Most of these bets
that I come up with are the opposite side of these popular service plays.
I have 3 rules that I strictly
follow when it comes to betting these games. 1. Never bet more than $1000 (I use only 4 bet sizes: $250, $500, $750,
$1000. Majority of the bets are for $500 or $750) 2. Never make more than three
bets on any given day. 3. Don't break rules one and two. Keep in mind that these
rules are personal--just for me. You can set the bet sizes to 1, 2, 3, and 4
units and assign whatever monetary value suits you best for each unit. The limit
of 3 games is to make this method work efficiently and keep me from falling
under psychology problems. If you are a professional bettor with a very large
bankroll, making a living with sports betting you should never limit yourself to
three bets a day if you can find more than three +ev bets.
REMEMBER THAT IF YOU BLINDLY TAIL OR FADE ALL THE PICKS OF A SPORTS SERVICE,
YOU WILL LOSE YOUR BANKROLL SOONER OR LATER BECAUSE THEY WILL FALL INTO TO THE
PSYCHOLOGY PROBLEM THAT I WAS TALKING ABOUT EARLIER. IT IS A FACT THAT IF YOU
BLINDLY FADE OR TAIL A SERVICE IT WILL BE -EV IN THE LONG RUN.
I have received many emails regarding rule one because of the
great success that I am having. They always ask, why don't I
move to Vegas to do this full time instead of limiting my self to just $1000 max
bet etc. If I am to do that, I know
for for a fact that the psychology that I was talking about earlier would
kick in and destroy everything. Sometimes I get the temptation to
bet larger amounts or to make more than 3 bets (especially during weekends) but I
always kick the temptation away regardless of how my bets perform. When you involve too much
money, emotions will play a big role and that my friend will have a huge negative
effect on your betting related decisions. LIKE I MENTIONED BEFORE, THESE RULES
ARE MY PERSONAL CHOICES. SPORTS BETTING WILL ALWAYS REMAIN AS A RECREATIONAL
ACTIVITY FOR ME--NOT A PROFESSION!
The birth of toutbuster.com
Until 2007, I never even dreamed of selling my bets.
2006 was my first winning year and since then I am on a roll. During my success
I shared my bets with some friends and co-workers. Through word of mouth my
success spread. By middle of 2007 baseball season, there were about 20 people
(mostly friends, co-workers and relatives) receiving my daily bets by email. By
the start of 2007 NFL season the number of people in the list tripled--it got to
the point where there were people on the list that
I didn't even know--friends of co-friends, co-workers, relatives etc. On
April 1, 2008, from a suggestion of a good friend, I sent out an April
Fools email to everyone on the list saying that they must pay $500/week if
they want to continue receiving my picks. Most of them got the joke, but 7
people on the list took up my offer not knowing that it was a joke--They were
ready to pay $500/week to have me send them my bets daily. And that is when I
came up with the idea of charging for my emails--but of course I don't charge
$500/week! I got the nickname Tout Buster
from friends in 2007 due to the nature of my method. I decided to go by that name since the domain was
available! Toutbuster.com was launched on June 1, 2008. I have been winning
consistently ever since I started using this method in 2006 but in the
records page you will only see the results from June
1, 2008.
I also get many emails regarding the psychology and pressure that
I was talking about earlier. Many who visit this page ask if I could continue my success with the
added pressure of people paying me. The answer is yes, I can continue the
success because I don't make picks to sell. As mentioned before, I make these
picks for myself to bet on. I follow the 3 rules, so, that I don't get affected
by the psychology. I am a full time charted accountant.
Sports betting is a leisure for me and my sports betting bankroll an amount that I can afford to lose. However, I haven't lost a bankroll ever
since I started employing this method in 2006. With all the success and profit
that I am enjoying, I still haven't placed a wager over $1000 or placed more
than 3 bets on any given day since I started employing this method in 2006!
Thanks for reading. May the winnings be yours!
© Copyright ToutBuster.com 2008, All rights reserved.
|
|